Higher Rates Are Adding Homes Nationally, Not in Kansas City

by Christopher Munkel

For-sale signs representing housing inventory

You may have heard that the number of homes for sale is not growing the way it was, and maybe that has you worried you will not find a home you love when it is time to move. Nationally, the pool of options may actually keep ticking up. Locally, the story is different, and the difference is the part worth understanding before you plan your move.

Nationally, Inventory Growth Slowed but Did Not Stop

Active listings were up 2.1% year-over-year in July, according to Realtor.com. That is a big cooldown from earlier: inventory was up 10% back in January and up 31.5% in May of 2025. The past three months, though, have all landed in roughly the same range, a sign the slowdown may be nearing its floor (see graph below):

A graph of year-over-year inventory growth leveling off over recent months

The takeaway is that homes are still coming onto the market. Every one of those bars shows a period when inventory grew, so slower growth is not the same as no options.

The Most Homes on the Market Since 2019

Zoom out and the recovery is clearer. National active listings this July were the highest for that month since 2019 (see graph below):

A bar chart of July active listing counts by year, the highest since 2019

The market still needs roughly 150,000 more listings to fully return to pre-pandemic levels, but it is closing the gap, and some experts think the country could reach 2019 levels by the end of this year.

Why Higher Rates Push Inventory Up

The engine behind that is an unlikely one: mortgage rates. When rates climb, inventory tends to climb with them, because fewer buyers chasing homes leaves more of them sitting available. Mike Simonsen, Chief Economist at Compass, puts it simply: "When rates rise, inventory rises. When rates fall, inventory falls." With rates expected to hold in the mid-to-upper 6% range for a while, Realtor.com's latest forecast has national inventory ending 2026 up about 3.6% year-over-year.

But Kansas City Is Moving the Other Way

Here is where the national headline and the local reality part company. As of August 2026, total inventory across the Kansas City metro was about 8,305 homes, down roughly 4.8% from a year earlier. Supply sits at just 2.6 months, homes are selling in about 39 days, and sellers are collecting close to 98% of their asking price. In other words, while the country is slowly rebuilding its shelves, Kansas City's are getting thinner, not fuller. The national story of "more options on the way" is real, but it does not describe this market right now.

Why Kansas City Is Bucking the Trend

A few forces keep the local market tight while the national one loosens. Kansas City is still relatively affordable, so demand stays broad and steady even with rates in the 6% range, and steady demand absorbs new listings quickly instead of letting them pile up. The rate lock-in effect also bites in a particular way here: many local owners refinanced into very low rates during the pandemic and have little reason to sell and trade into a 6% loan, so fewer existing homes reach the market. And unlike the fast-growth metros that large investors flooded and are now exiting, the Kansas City area never carried much institutional inventory to unload. Put those together and the national forces nudging supply higher are simply weaker here, and in some cases they are working in reverse.

What That Means for Your Move

For a Kansas City buyer, the practical message is not to wait for a local wave of new listings that the data does not support. The homes are moving quickly and there are fewer of them than a year ago, so the edge goes to buyers who are financing-ready and prepared to act when the right one appears. For a seller, tight local supply is leverage: with fewer competing listings, a well-prepared, well-priced home has room to stand out and hold its price. The national trend is a useful backdrop, but the number that should shape your decision is the local one.

Practically, that changes the playbook. In a market this tight, a buyer benefits from going a step past pre-approval to full underwriting, so an offer can move the day the right home appears, and from real-time alerts that surface new local listings immediately rather than a week later. A seller, meanwhile, still cannot coast on low supply. Buyers here are watchful and value-conscious, so an accurate list price and strong presentation are what turn scarcity into a quick, competitive sale rather than a home that lingers despite the thin market.

The Bottom Line

Nationally, higher rates are quietly doing buyers a favor by rebuilding the supply of homes for sale, and the country is on track for its best inventory since 2019. Kansas City is the exception, still tight and tightening. At Munkel Real Estate Solutions, the work is separating the national trend from what is actually on the market in your price range and neighborhood, so you plan around the shelves in front of you rather than the ones in the headline.

Sources: Realtor.com, Compass, and Heartland MLS/KCRAR.

Christopher Munkel
Christopher Munkel

Founder & Principal | Munkel Real Estate Solutions License ID: KS#00251082 | MO#2024042017

+1(913) 490-6011 | chris@munkelrealestatesolutions.com

GET MORE INFORMATION

Name
Phone*
Message